Kamis, 19 September 2013
YTH. Madam MG n pernikahan anaknya
Rabu, 24 Juli 2013
golput itu HANTU
Ancaman Golput Hantui Pilpres 2014
Rabu, 24 Juli 2013 19:27 wibAisyah - Okezone Ilustrasi Okezone
JAKARTA - Aliansi Pemuda Indonesia (API) mengungkapkan kekhawatiran tingginya angka golput dalam pemilu 2014 mendatang. Pasalnya, golput semakin meningkat sejak melonjaknya angka golput pada tahun 1999.
"Pulau Jawa mendulang suara terbesar untuk angka golput. Kami mendapatkan 63,3 persen suara yang tidak memilih siapapun untuk maju dalam pilpres mendatang," papar Sekjen API, Dendi Susianto, dalam diskusi politik laporan hasil poling di Gedung Dewan Pers, Jalan Kebon Sirih, Jakarta Pusat (24/7/2013).
Dendi juga menemukan, ancaman suara golput terbesar akan disumbangkan responden dari tingkat SLTA.
"Dari pemilih golput berdasarkan pendidikan, SLTA meraih suara terbesar yakni 53,8 persen. Ini karena Kelompok itu kritis. Kalau ada parpol atau kader parpol yang bertindak negatif, mereka aware terhadap hal itu sehingga mereka lebih kritis," terangnya.
Sementara pemilih golput berdasarkan usia, lanjutnya, suara terbesar golput diraih kalangan usia 23-35 tahun. "Padahal, secara informasi mereka paling baik dan cukup banyak memiliki pengaruh aktif melakukan kampanye dan mengkritisi negara," jelasnya.
Dikatakan Dendi, survei ini menggunakan metode tellepoling dengan sample frame, yang digunakan daftar nomor telepon pelanggan telkom yang tersebar di 33 provinsi berjumlah 650 orang dengan komposisi 50% wanita dan 50% pria serta margin eror 3,8 persen.
Dalam kesempatan yang sama, mantan politikus Partai Amanat Nasional (PAN) Hatta Taliwang, mengungkapkan yang membuat orang golput adalah proses kecurangan dari data selama proses pemilu.
"Output demokrasi liberal memprihatinkan. Ini melahirkan pemimpin yang abal-abal dan membuat Indonesia terpuruk," terang Hatta.
Hatta juga sempat mengungkapkan kekecewaannya pada media karena berita yang ditayangkan turut menyumbang partisipasi untuk membentuk bangsa menjadi negara abal-abal.
"Media bisa buat monyet jadi pemimpin. Media tidak memberi tempat pada orang jujur. Media beri tempat pada orang tidak jujur, buat apa demokrasi kalau tidak jujur?," pungkasnya. (ydh)
negara MAJU: angka KEJAHATAN TURUN, tanya kenapa
Where have all the burglars gone?
The rich world is seeing less and less crime, even in the face of high unemployment and economic stagnation
THE Old Town in Tallinn, the capital of Estonia, does not look like a den of thieves. On a summer afternoon, herds of elderly tourists—American, Japanese, British—wander between the gift shops and sip lagers at pavement cafés beneath the gothic town hall. In a park, teenagers chat and smoke cigarettes in the sun.
Valdo Pôder, a local police officer, remembers when it was quite different. In the mid-1990s curtains rose at the city’s theatres at six o’clock so that the audience could get home before sunset. Young men hung around selling bootleg vodka. The streetlights were always smashed. Pointing to one smart-looking bar Mr Pôder says he would have needed a team of at least ten officers to raid it. “We’d have to put everyone inside on the floor,” he says. “Or else we might get shot at.”
Crime in Estonia has fallen precipitously. Since 1995, the country’s murder rate has dropped by 70%, and robbery and car theft have fallen almost as far. Even as the country entered a deep recession in 2009, which pushed unemployment up to 19%, the crime rate kept falling. But though the magnitude of this trend sets post-Soviet Estonia apart, its direction does not. Across the developed world, the crime wave that began in the 1950s is in broad retreat (see chart 1).
Both police records (which underestimate some types of crime) and surveys of victims (which should not, but are not as regularly available a source of data) show crime against the person and against property falling over the past ten years in most rich countries. In America the fall began around 1991; in Britain it began around 1995, though the murder rate followed only in the mid-2000s. In France, property crime rose until 2001—but it has fallen by a third since. Some crimes are all but disappearing. In 1997, some 400,000 cars were reported stolen in England and Wales: in 2012, just 86,000.
Once upon a time in America
Cities have seen the greatest progress. The number of violent crimes has fallen by 32% since 1990 across America as a whole; in the biggest cities, it has fallen by 64%. In New York, the area around Times Square on 42nd Street, where pornographers once mingled with muggers, is now a family oriented tourist trap. On London’s housing estates, children play in concrete corridors once used by heroin addicts to shoot up. In Tallinn you can walk home from the theatre unmolested as late as you like.
What is behind this spectacular and widespread improvement? Demographic trends are an obvious factor. The baby-boom in the decades after the second world war created a bubble in the 16- to 24-year-old population a couple of decades later, and most crimes are committed by men of that age. That bubble is now long deflated. In most Western countries, the population is ageing, often quite fast.
But demographics are not everything. Mark Simmons, a deputy assistant commissioner for the Metropolitan Police in London, points out that the number of 18- to 24-year-old men in the city has been increasing in recent years, and yet the decline in crime has continued. The sheer magnitude of the improvement in places such as New York and Los Angeles, where the incidence of some crimes has fallen by as much as 90%, cannot be explained just by a young-person deficit.
Steven Levitt, an economist at the University of Chicago, has argued that the legalisation of abortion in the 1970s cut America’s crime rate by reducing the number of children growing up in inner-city poverty and thus predisposed to criminality. But that cannot explain why rates have kept falling long after such an effect should have tapered off, or why crime rates in Britain, where abortion has been legal for longer, began falling later. Jessica Wolpaw Reyes, an American researcher, has argued that the cognitive effects of exposure to lead were a primary determinant of violent crime, and unleaded petrol is to thank for the improvement. But the causal link is far from proven.
Could more criminals being locked up be the answer? The number of people behind bars has grown substantially in many countries over the past 20 years. In Britain the prison population doubled between 1993 and 2012; in Australia and America, it almost doubled. But several countries, including Canada, the Netherlands and Estonia, have reduced their prison populations without seeing any spike in crime; so too have some American states such as New York, where crime rates have fallen fastest. Prison takes existing criminals off the streets. But in many places, the drop in crime seems to be down to people not becoming criminals in the first place. Between 2007 and 2012 the number of people convicted of an offence for the first time in Britain fell by 44%.
Better policing is a more convincing explanation than bigger prisons: the expectation of being caught undoubtedly deters criminals. In New York and Los Angeles, where crime has fallen further and faster than almost anywhere, Bill Bratton, a former police chief of both cities, is often credited for the turnaround. Partly, that is thanks to higher standards. Today’s LAPD is a far cry from the racist, corrupt and scandal-ridden force of the 1990s. But tactics have also changed.
Hot fuzz
A combination of officers talking to the people whose neighbourhoods they police and intensive targeting of crime “hotspots” has transformed the way streets are protected. In the 1990s, Mr Bratton embraced data-driven “CompStat” policing, targeting the most blighted districts with huge numbers of officers. The biggest subsequent crime drops were extremely localised: for example, in the area around Canal Street in Lower Manhattan, the murder rate fell from 29 per 100,000 residents in 1990 to around 1.5 by 2009.
According to Lawrence Sherman, a criminologist at the University of Cambridge, such tactics have now worked in places as different as Sweden and Trinidad and Tobago. In Chicago, where crime has been slower to fall than elsewhere, local politicians this year thanked hotspot methods for the lowest murder rate in half a century. Technology has improved the effectiveness of detective work too. The advent of DNA testing, mobile-phone location and surveillance cameras—which have spread rapidly, especially in Britain—have all increased the risk of getting caught.
Some broad social changes have probably helped. In most countries young people are increasingly sober and well behaved. They are more likely to live with their parents and to be in higher education—across the European Union 28% of adults aged 25-34 still live at home. In Britain, the current generation of 18- to 24-year-olds is a lot less likely to have tried an illegal drug or to drink than those ten years older were at their age, and the same is true in most European countries. In most countries wife-beating has become more stigmatised and less common: since 1994, self-reported domestic violence has fallen by three-quarters in Britain and two-thirds in America.
In America, the end of the crack-cocaine epidemic in the 1990s is widely credited with reducing crime. In Europe, the explosion in heroin use that accompanied the high unemployment of the 1980s has largely receded, even though hard economic times are back. Junkies are older and fewer; in Rotterdam, there is now a state-sponsored hostel for elderly heroin addicts. A lot of people in the rich world still take illegal drugs, but they tend to be drugs that they pay for out of what they earn, not what they steal.
The repopulation of inner cities is probably also a help. A middle-class exodus to the suburbs of the 1950s and 1960s often left behind inner cities blighted by derelict properties and concentrated poverty. George Kelling, the American criminologist who first developed the idea that seemingly small signs of dereliction—such as broken windows—can encourage more significant criminality, points out that inner-centre neighbourhoods such as Harlem in New York, or Amsterdam’s Nieuwmarkt district, have been reclaimed by the well-off. The windows have been mended. Gentrifiers may not always be popular, but they set up neighbourhood watch meetings, clean up empty spaces and lobby politicians to take crime more seriously. They may be a consequence of falling crime that lowers crime further.
The last category of explanations is perhaps the most intriguing: that criminals simply have fewer opportunities. Jan van Dijk, a criminologist based at Tilburg University in the Netherlands, points out that in the 1950s and 1960s millions of people across the Western world acquired cars, televisions, record players, jewellery and so on for the first time; rich pickings for those who would steal them. In the decades since, those same people have added burglar alarms, window locks and safe deposit boxes. Between 1995 and 2011, the proportion of British households with burglar alarms increased by half, to 29%. And some things once worth stealing from people’s homes have become less valuable. There is little point in burgling a house to steal a DVD player worth $30.
Bellman and true
Shops have invested heavily in security, installing clever gates and tags to deter shoplifters and employing ever more guards. In fact, private security is booming in many places. The number of guards employed in Europe has increased by 90% over the past decade, and they now outnumber police officers. Security vans are now harder to knock off and are often followed by police cars. Fewer businesses handle lots of cash. Those that do keep less on the premises.
Armed robbery has been particularly hard hit by reduced opportunities. In 1950s London, professional criminals—often ex-servicemen—used explosives to crack the safes of factories and banks. When safes toughened up, the hard men moved on to holding up banks. As banks put up shutters and alarms, bulletproof partitions and surveillance cameras, they turned to robbing less secure building societies. By the 1990s it was betting shops and off-licences (liquor stores). Now there are few armed robberies at all. As Roger Matthews of the University of Kent puts it: “You might make a thousand pounds and you’ll get caught. What’s the point?”
Armed robbery may have fallen for another reason too: robbers typically relied on stolen cars for their getaways. But thanks to central locking, alarms and circuitry immune to hot-wiring, stealing a car is far harder than it was. In New York City the annual number of car thefts has fallen by 93% over the past 20 years. According to Graham Farrell, of Simon Fraser University in Canada, reducing car theft may have had broader knock-on effects than just restricting getaway options. Stealing a car for a joyride used to be a “gateway crime”, which would lead teenagers on to other crimes; now such escalation is restricted to Grand Theft Auto games (which, at least one study suggests, may themselves be reducing crime by keeping feisty young men occupied).
Not all crime is falling. Sexual offences, which often go unrecorded, may be becoming more or less common. Bank fraud, money-wire scams and trade in personal information may well have a lot of growth potential. Organised crime may be less violent in the rich world, but it is still a scourge in many places. Even in countries where crime overall continues to decline rapidly, such as Britain, certain types of property crime—such as pickpocketing and shoplifting—have risen with unemployment (the lure of mobile phones, not yet as hard to steal as cars, doubtless plays a role). Violent crime recently ticked up ever so slightly in the United States, and is rising in a few other places, such as France. And in many places police numbers are now falling, which may bode ill if policing has done a lot to drive down crime.
But the sheer scale of the drop—and its broad persistence in the face of the deepest economic depression in a century—make a new crime wave seem unlikely. Policing is still improving; heroin and crack-cocaine consumption continue to fall; and no one is likely to reintroduce lead into petrol. The period of rising crime from the 1950s through to the 1980s looks increasingly like an historical anomaly.
There are still criminals, but there are ever fewer of them and they are getting older. When the global economy recovers, there will be fewer still. In Tallinn, the police are having to come to terms with the implications of lower crime. “Nowadays we have a new problem,” jokes Priit Pärkna, one of the local police chiefs. “If we want to arrest someone, we need much more evidence than we did.” At the moment, he is worried about the pickpockets that the city’s new-found tourist trade attracts. As problems brought on by progress go, it is not the worst.
Minggu, 03 Maret 2013
YanG Dihormati: AH3R
Selasa, 26 Februari 2013 | 21:01 WIB
Anggota Dewan Desak Usut Aher dalam Kasus BJB
TEMPO.CO, Jakarta - Anggota Komisi VI DPR dari Fraksi Partai Golkar Lili Asdjudiredja, menilai kasus Bank Jabar Banten (BJB) yang membawa nama Gubernur Jawa Barat Ahmad Heryawan hampir sama dengan kasus Bank Century. "Kasus serupa tersebut perlu segera diselesaikan. Jika ingin memberantas korupsi, sesegera mungkin penegak hukum bertindak," kata Lili saat dihubungi Tempo, Selasa, 26 Februari 2013.Menurut dia, jika Bank Indonesia sudah menyimpulkan pencairan kredit tersebut tidak memenuhi prosedur, jelas ada penyimpangan. "Harus segera diusut dan ditindaklanjuti oleh KPK," katanya.
Baginya, kejanggalan aliran dana tersebut sangat luar biasa. "Perusahaan kecil tapi bisa dapat kredit dengan jumlah besar, itu menimbulkan tanda tanya besar," kata Lili.
Pendapat senada disampaikan Ketua Fraksi Partai Demokrasi Indonesia Perjuangan (PDIP) DPRD Jawa Barat Herry Mei Oloan. Menurutnya, kasus Bank BJB yang melibatkan sang Gubernur ini perlu segera diaudit.
Herry menyatakan, tidak tahu kedalaman kasusnya sampai mana. Namun, jika dari cek prosedur ada penyalahgunaan tentu mesti diperiksa pihak berwenang. "Perlu ada transparansi, apakah dalam pencairan dana tersebut ada intervensi gubernur atau tidak," kata Herry.
Pemeriksaan selanjutnya yaitu mengenai aliran dana tersebut. Jika ada uang mengalir untuk kebutuhan kampanye maka ada penyalahgunaan wewenang. "Butuh audit lagi untuk mengecek apakah dana tersebut mengalir untuk kampanye atau tidak," kata Herry.
RISANTI
kutipan infografis tempo online:
Kamis, 14 Februari 2013
JOKOWI'S EFFECT GLOBALLY
The capital’s efficient leader breaks the mould of Indonesian politicians
Jokowi gets things done
SINCE taking office last October, Joko Widodo, the unassuming,
populist governor of Jakarta, has lived up to his reputation as Mr
Fix-it. Having turned Indonesia’s political order on its head by
unseating the incumbent governor in the capital, he has set himself
apart from other politicians, many of whom are seen as corrupt, arrogant
and aloof.Mr Widodo, fondly known as “Jokowi,” takes unannounced strolls through slum areas speaking with residents about access to health care and education. Giggly housewives want their photo taken with him. On January 9th he ordered the construction of six new toll roads and announced a plan to relocate street vendors to help reduce Jakarta’s legendary traffic jams. His administration has also drafted a proposal for a huge underground drainage tunnel to reduce the capital’s frequent flooding. In the latest deluge, on January 16th and 17th, when heavy monsoon rains submerged nearly half the city, 20 people died and 40,000 were displaced.
Mr. Widodo took to the streets again to pledge more action to prevent floods, his sense of urgency a welcome change in a country used to vague political deadlines. On January 8th he was voted the third-best mayor in the world by the 2012 World Mayor Project for his previous success running the city of Solo.
The new governor’s tenure has not been without controversy: he raised eyebrows by opposing a $1.6 billion mass rapid transit (MRT) project for Jakarta that was decades in the planning and had been scheduled to break ground this year. Instead, he suggested reviving a $495m, privately funded monorail proposal for the city centre. Jakarta is one of the few big cities in Asia without an MRT, and beleaguered city residents view building one as a last hope to end gridlock. Experts say a monorail circling central Jakarta’s shopping and business districts will not help because it would not connect commuters in the suburbs.
Now, though, Mr Widodo has backed down on the monorail, after pressing the national government to agree to increase its funding commitment for the MRT project to nearly 50%. Some say his support for the monorail was a ploy to that end. With a governor apparently as canny as he is competent, it is no wonder Mr Widodo is being touted as a possible future president.
Senin, 10 September 2012
Kepada: Islam MODERAt
Mayoritas Muslim Indonesia Moderat
JAKARTA, (PRLM).- Wakil Ketua MPR RI
Hajrijanto Y. Thohari menegaskan jika sudah menjadi konsensus bahwa
mayoritas muslim Indonesia adalah moderat dalam pandangan keagamaannya.
Karena itu pluralitas agama tidak semata-mata pengakuan mengenai
kenyataan bahwa ada perbedaan agama dan budaya melainkan suatu apresiasi
bahwa kenyataan pluralitas agama itu mempunyai nilai positif.
Hal itu disampaikannya dalam dalam dialog “Kebhinnekaan Modal Indonesia” di Gedung DPR/MPR RI Jakarta, Senin (10/9). “Karena itulah istilah pluralisme agama bukanlah semata-mata fakta pluralitas, tapi juga keterlibatan aktif dan cita-cita untuk berjuang keras bagi pluralisme itu sendiri.”
Menurut Hajrijanto, menjadi seorang pluralis itu bukan menjadi seorang yang toleran, melainkan harus terpanggil untuk aktif berperan serta di dalamnya. Yaitu menerima teologis-ketuhanan kelompok lain sebagai design Tuhan bagi umat manusia. Dalam bahasa agama katanya, pluralitas adalah sistem yang didesign Tuhan untuk umat manusia.
“Jadi, bagaimana keragaman itu dapat membangun sipirit eksistensi bangsa ini untuk membangun keadilan dan harmoni Indonesia. Di mana setiap agama mempunyai ritualnya sendiri yang berbeda satu sama lain. Dengan demikian pluralitas itu adalah sebagai fakta dan realitas, dan bukan tentang perbedaan ideologi,” tambah politisi Golkar ini.
Dengan demikian kata Hajrijanto, interpretasi baru mengenai pluralisme dalam konteks Indonesia ini penting untuk menghindari kesalahpahaman yang fatal, yang bisa merusak keragaman itu sendiri.
“Dunia saat ini lebih membutuhkan kedamaian dari pada kekerasan dalam menghadapi problem abad ini sebagai model resolusi konflik. Problem kemanusiaan hanya akan teratasi dengan kerjasama untuk mencapai kebahagiaan global tanpa diskriminasi ras, kelas sosial, agama maupun bangsa,” tuturnya. (A-109/A-26).***
Hal itu disampaikannya dalam dalam dialog “Kebhinnekaan Modal Indonesia” di Gedung DPR/MPR RI Jakarta, Senin (10/9). “Karena itulah istilah pluralisme agama bukanlah semata-mata fakta pluralitas, tapi juga keterlibatan aktif dan cita-cita untuk berjuang keras bagi pluralisme itu sendiri.”
Menurut Hajrijanto, menjadi seorang pluralis itu bukan menjadi seorang yang toleran, melainkan harus terpanggil untuk aktif berperan serta di dalamnya. Yaitu menerima teologis-ketuhanan kelompok lain sebagai design Tuhan bagi umat manusia. Dalam bahasa agama katanya, pluralitas adalah sistem yang didesign Tuhan untuk umat manusia.
“Jadi, bagaimana keragaman itu dapat membangun sipirit eksistensi bangsa ini untuk membangun keadilan dan harmoni Indonesia. Di mana setiap agama mempunyai ritualnya sendiri yang berbeda satu sama lain. Dengan demikian pluralitas itu adalah sebagai fakta dan realitas, dan bukan tentang perbedaan ideologi,” tambah politisi Golkar ini.
Dengan demikian kata Hajrijanto, interpretasi baru mengenai pluralisme dalam konteks Indonesia ini penting untuk menghindari kesalahpahaman yang fatal, yang bisa merusak keragaman itu sendiri.
“Dunia saat ini lebih membutuhkan kedamaian dari pada kekerasan dalam menghadapi problem abad ini sebagai model resolusi konflik. Problem kemanusiaan hanya akan teratasi dengan kerjasama untuk mencapai kebahagiaan global tanpa diskriminasi ras, kelas sosial, agama maupun bangsa,” tuturnya. (A-109/A-26).***
Sabtu, 08 September 2012
Yth. TIDAK TAU 5SILA
11 Bulan Keliling Indonesia demi Pancasila
Penulis : Kornelis Kewa Ama Khayam | Sabtu, 8 September 2012 | 11:15 WIB
Jitet Koestana
TERKAIT:
Dalam pertemuan dengan sejumlah siswa SD, SMP, dan SMA di berbagai sekolah, ia menemukan bahwa Pancasila tidak pernah diketahui atau dipahami para siswa. "Saat tiba di Halmahera, anak-anak SMP yang saya tanyai tentang Pancasila bingung. Mereka menjawab, nama itu belum pernah mereka dengar, apalagi menghafalnya. Saya kecewa sekali dengan bangsa ini," kata Liberius.
Ia mengungkapkan, dalam seminar membagi pengalaman tentang Pancasila bersama Liberius Langsimus, yang baru saja selesai mengelilingi Indonesia (dari Sabang sampai Merauke, dari Miangas sampai Pulau Ndana) dan semua provinsi di Indonesia, Pancasila sudah berada di ujung kepunahan.
"Jangankan siswa SD, SMP, SMA, tetapi juga sebagian besar mahasiswa di sejumlah perguruan tinggi di Indonesia tidak paham mengenai Pancasila. Perlu ada revolusi penegakan pada Pancasila di seluruh lini kehidupan masyarakat. Pendidikan moral Pancasila dan program P4 harus dihidupkan kembali melalui sekolah-sekolah dari tingkat SD-perguruan tinggi.
Liberius memulai perjalanan keliling Indonesia mulai dari Ende pada 1 Oktober 2011, tepatnya di pohon sukun, tempat Soekarno merenungkan Pancasila, menuju Aceh sampai Merauke dan Miangas sampai Pulau Ndana. Ia akan kembali ke Ende pada 1 Oktober 2012. Hasil kunjungan Liberius akan dibukukan dalam enam seri tentang Pancasila dan diluncurkan pada 1 Oktober 2012.
Editor :
Rusdi Amral
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